Freaking Interest Rates

Should we be worried about the 10-2 year yield that has never been so low in the past 50 years ? - The 10-2 yield curve has predicted with 100% accurancy every big financial recession.

When it inverts, usuallu within 6-18 months the market crashes.

Now it's at its lowest ever.

Is one ... See More of the biggest crashes ever, coming?

Is inflation not slowing enough because people have too much money or other factors? - Credit card debts is at an all time high with like 27% interest rate. I think people''s have exhausted their savings and now are resorting to credit cards. White collar jobs are reduced while lower ... See More wage jobs have increased. CNBC had an article about richcession. CPI still rose 0.2% in July recently.

If hiking interest rate to 5.5% this rapidly (steepest in history) and it's not slowing down inflation drastically, could inflation be due to something else? Would the green deal (spending bill) that was passed in congress a couple years ago along with the war in Ukraine contribute to inflation? If hiking interest rate after September and inflation would still not slow down enough be a sign that the interest rate hike is not working? Seems like it did more harm than good.

edit: I removed student loan debt forgiveness because the $10k loan forgiveness got scrapped.

Why Are Analysts Increasing NVIDIA’s Price Target? Is It Out of Fear That Something Bad Will Happen, Leading Them to Encourage Others to Buy for their own profits? - NVIDIA, often considered the heart of AI stocks, has recently been in the spotlight as analysts uniformly raise their stock targets. ... See More To me, this trend seems somewhat peculiar, even considering the current earnings season. The buoyant optimism surrounding the stock’s potential rise is sparking doubt in my mind. Should the stock underperform, it will be a litmus test of these analysts’ sincerity, raising questions about whether they may be manipulating public sentiment.

In the broader context of the semiconductor sector, the recent quarterly earnings have been largely underwhelming. Yet, all semiconductor stocks appear to be buoyed by NVIDIA’s momentum. A stumble in NVIDIA’s stock could trigger a broader tech market downfall, while success could reignite a bullish trend for tech stocks. My intuition, however, leans towards a potential disappointment. NVIDIA might surpass current estimates but simultaneously lower their future guidance due to sluggish growth. Should this occur, a significant drop in stock price could follow.

Disclaimer: These thoughts are purely my own observations and should not be taken as financial advice.

Americans Have Almost Depleted Excess Savings

China's Evergrande files for bankruptcy

Which stocks should we omit? - My pops and I started investing beginning of the year. 100k on VTSAX and 100k on VOO.

We have 100k more to throw in but we wanted to take a chance on individual stocks. This is the list we came up with, it looks ... See More generic but they seem to be good performers (except the last one). We don’t really want to take a chance with penny stocks (everyone in that sub says something different) if you could only pick 10 (or omit 3) which would you pick?

Apple
Amazon
Tesla
Rocket lab USA
C3.ai
Salesforce
Occidental petroleum
Berkshire Hathaway
McDonald’s
Microsoft
Google
Nasdaq- Nvidia
Soligenix

Vietnamese EV maker VinFast is now worth more than Ford and GM after Nasdaq debut

What do I do? Zero experience…was trying to learn but can’t grasp the market - Help!

Meta about to take a dive to 270 level I took 290 put sept 15 expiry

Am I supposed to be making money? - Hi,
Just a quick question.
I started investing in april 2021, probably near the first peak after the covid crash.
I understand that I bought at crazy valuations. I invested a small lump sum and added 1k a month pretty consistently, buying a ... See More mix of stocks and etf, mainly dividend paying.
After 2 and a half years my portfolio is in the green by 1% and I don't know what to think of it because I have no reference to judge this result.
I was under the impression that I could make an aversge of 5-8% a year.

What has been your experience in the past 2 years?
Is a flat portfolio good or am I doing something wrong?

German sandal maker Birkenstock heads to US stock market – DW

China Asks Some Funds to Avoid Net Equity Sales as Markets Sink

US recession probability showing highest level since 1980's for May '24

Whats happened to the Market? - I did not understand what’s happend today?
Can someone tell us?